Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
-6.3%Last 30
80%24/30 over 0.5
Window avg
1.13
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
72%
31/43
Avg0.72
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Miguel Vargas clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Davis Martin o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 69% · base 52% · n=29 · -115 Bovada
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=16 · -189 BetOnline
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=16 · -185 BetOnline
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 61% · n=86 · -180 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 30 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs BOS — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jose Siri LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage