Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.79
Edge
+3.8%Last 20
30%6/20 over 2.5
Window avg
2.05
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
30%
13/43
Avg1.28
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Miguel Vargas clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Davis Martin o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 80% · base 52% · n=15 · -115 Bovada
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=72 · -209 DraftKings
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=72 · -196 BetOnline
Sam Antonacci o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 66% · n=29 · -244 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 2.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +107 | -139 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BOS — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 7 | ✓ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jose Siri LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage