Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Miguel Vargas

Chicago White Sox · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
-6.3%
Last 10
0%0/8 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/8
L20
6%
1/17
2026
4%
3/74
Avg0.77
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Miguel Vargas clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Davis Martin o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 69% · base 52% · n=29 · -115 Bovada
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=16 · -189 BetOnline
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=16 · -185 BetOnline
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 61% · n=86 · -180 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 2

official box scores
1vs KC06/272vs KC06/281@ BAL06/290@ BAL06/300@ BAL07/011@ CLE07/022@ CLE07/030@ CLE07/041@ CLE07/050vs BOS07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-233+173
BetOnline0.5-238+179

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs BOS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Sam Antonacci CWS07/073
Junior Perez CWS07/071
Chase Meidroth CWS07/070
Kyle Teel CWS07/070
Tristan Peters CWS07/070
Luisangel Acuña CWS07/070
Randal Grichuk CWS07/070
Colson Montgomery CWS07/070
Zach Neto LAA07/053
Jo Adell LAA07/053
Logan O'Hoppe LAA07/051
Denzer Guzman LAA07/051
Vaughn Grissom LAA07/050
Josh Lowe LAA07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.211.233.059.375.242.208.462.261.281
OPS
.650.833.2221.406.909.5831.231.638.688
Exit Velo
87.7995.1389.9193.4496.5786.7398.1193.4189.38
sluggingPercentage
.421.600.1181.031.667.375.769.391.406
onBasePercentage
.250.233.111.375.242.208.462.255.281