Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.79
Edge
+3.8%Trending splitsAway 30%(40)
All 205 games
32%66/205 over 1.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
40%
25/63
Avg1.40
StreakW3
Tonight's matchup: Jake Bennett (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 33.1% | 93.0 | .191 | .415 | 26.1% |
| Sinker | 27.9% | 92.5 | .244 | .526 | 9.2% |
| Changeup | 26.0% | 83.6 | .375 | .667 | 6.0% |
| Sweeper | 5.4% | 79.5 | .280 | .600 | 21.7% |
| Curveball | 4.9% | 79.2 | .095 | .238 | 20.0% |
| Cutter | 2.8% | 85.2 | .333 | .810 | 28.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Miguel Vargas clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Davis Martin o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 80% · base 52% · n=15 · -115 Bovada
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=72 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Chase Meidroth o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 74% · base 69% · n=72 · -196 BetOnline
Sam Antonacci o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 66% · n=29 · -161 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 205 games vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +107 | -139 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +115 | -114 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlinedabble_us_dfs
League vs BOS — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Sam Antonacci CWS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Perez CWS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kyle Teel CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Randal Grichuk CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colson Montgomery CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tristan Peters CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase Meidroth CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luisangel Acuña CWS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/05 | 7 | ✓ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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