Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Pick’em — all sports

Live PrizePicks, Underdog, DK Pick6 and Betr lines scored by the Probetrics model. DFS entries pay like -137 a leg — a pick is only +EV above a 57.8% true win rate. 227 picks clear it right now.

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PickMatchupOur ProjAvg = the player's average this season. Proj = what OUR model expects tonight, adjusted for the opponent.Model %Our model's probability that this bet wins.vs 57.8%DFS apps pay all picks like -137 odds, so a pick only makes money long-term if it wins more than 57.8% of the time. We show how far each pick clears that bar.L10How often the player beat tonight's line in his last 10 games.App
MLBRandy Arozarena Less 1.5 Batter Strikeouts@ TB · 4:10 PM ET0.8380%+22.1%2/10Betr Picks
MLBTyler Stephenson Less 0.5 Runs Scoredvs CHC · 7:10 PM ET0.2776%+18.5%3/10Betr Picks
MLBLuke Raley Less 1.5 Batter Strikeouts@ TB · 4:10 PM ET1.0173%+15.5%3/10Betr Picks
MLBLuke Raley Less 1.5 Batter Strikeouts@ TB · 4:10 PM ET1.0173%+15.5%3/10DK Pick6
MLBEugenio Suárez Less 0.5 Runs Scoredvs CHC · 7:10 PM ET0.3173%+15.2%3/10Betr Picks
MLBEugenio Suárez Less 0.5 Runs Scoredvs CHC · 7:10 PM ET0.3173%+15.2%3/10DK Pick6
MLBJimmy Crooks Less 0.5 Hitsvs ATL · 7:15 PM ET0.3273%+14.9%3/10Betr Picks
MLBJimmy Crooks Less 0.5 Hitsvs ATL · 7:15 PM ET0.3273%+14.9%3/10DK Pick6
MLBJimmy Crooks Less 0.5 Hitsvs ATL · 7:15 PM ET0.3273%+14.9%3/10PrizePicks
MLBBrandon Pfaadt More 14.5 Pitcher Outs@ LAD · 9:10 PM ET17.0172%+14.4%7/10Betr Picks
MLBBrandon Pfaadt More 14.5 Pitcher Outs@ LAD · 9:10 PM ET17.0172%+14.4%7/10PrizePicks
MLBBrandon Pfaadt More 14.5 Pitcher Outs@ LAD · 9:10 PM ET17.0172%+14.4%7/10Underdog
MLBMookie Betts Less 0.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs AZ · 9:10 PM ET0.3372%+14.4%1/10Betr Picks
MLBMookie Betts Less 0.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs AZ · 9:10 PM ET0.3372%+14.4%1/10DK Pick6
MLBChandler Simpson Less 0.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs SEA · 4:10 PM ET0.3372%+14.2%1/10Betr Picks
MLBFreddy Peralta Less 17.5 Pitcher Outsvs BOS · 4:10 PM ET15.9471%+13.6%3/10Betr Picks
MLBFreddy Peralta Less 17.5 Pitcher Outsvs BOS · 4:10 PM ET15.9471%+13.6%3/10PrizePicks
MLBNico Hoerner Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET0.3471%+13.3%2/10Betr Picks
MLBTravis Bazzana Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ MIA · 4:10 PM ET0.3571%+13.0%2/10Betr Picks
MLBCody Bellinger Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ WSH · 4:05 PM ET0.3571%+12.9%1/10Betr Picks
MLBCody Bellinger Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ WSH · 4:05 PM ET0.3571%+12.9%1/10DK Pick6
MLBAustin Riley Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ STL · 7:15 PM ET0.3570%+12.4%3/10Betr Picks
MLBGriffin Jax Less 5.5 Pitcher Strikeoutsvs SEA · 4:10 PM ET4.5470%+11.8%3/10Betr Picks
MLBJames Wood Less 1.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs NYY · 4:05 PM ET1.1170%+11.8%1/10Betr Picks
MLBJames Wood Less 1.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs NYY · 4:05 PM ET1.1170%+11.8%1/10DK Pick6
MLBPete Crow-Armstrong More 1.5 Total Bases@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET2.4770%+11.8%8/10Betr Picks
MLBNico Hoerner Less 1.5 Total Bases@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET1.1069%+11.7%2/10Betr Picks
MLBKyle Manzardo Less 1.5 Batter Strikeouts@ MIA · 4:10 PM ET1.1169%+11.6%3/10DK Pick6
MLBIan Happ More 0.5 Total Bases@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET1.3669%+11.3%6/10Betr Picks
MLBGunnar Henderson Less 1.5 Total Basesvs KC · 7:05 PM ET1.3168%+10.5%2/10Betr Picks
MLBVladimir Guerrero Jr. Less 1.5 Total Bases@ SD · 8:40 PM ET1.1068%+10.4%3/10Betr Picks
MLBPaul Goldschmidt Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ WSH · 4:05 PM ET0.3968%+10.2%0/10Betr Picks
MLBPaul Goldschmidt Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ WSH · 4:05 PM ET0.3968%+10.2%0/10PrizePicks
MLBIldemaro Vargas Less 0.5 Batter Strikeouts@ LAD · 9:10 PM ET0.3968%+9.9%3/10DK Pick6
MLBKevin Alcántara Less 0.5 Hits@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET0.3968%+9.8%3/10Betr Picks
MLBKevin Alcántara Less 0.5 Hits@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET0.3968%+9.8%3/10PrizePicks
MLBKevin Alcántara Less 0.5 Hits@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET0.3968%+9.8%3/10Underdog
MLBBrandon Pfaadt More 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts@ LAD · 9:10 PM ET4.6168%+9.7%6/10Betr Picks
MLBBrandon Pfaadt More 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts@ LAD · 9:10 PM ET4.6168%+9.7%6/10DK Pick6
MLBBrandon Pfaadt More 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts@ LAD · 9:10 PM ET4.6168%+9.7%6/10PrizePicks
MLBBrandon Pfaadt More 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts@ LAD · 9:10 PM ET4.6168%+9.7%6/10Underdog
MLBConnor Wong More 0.5 Total Bases@ NYM · 4:10 PM ET1.1167%+9.7%8/10PrizePicks
MLBNicky Lopez Less 0.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs HOU · 7:05 PM ET0.4067%+9.4%3/10Betr Picks
MLBNicky Lopez Less 0.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs HOU · 7:05 PM ET0.4067%+9.4%3/10DK Pick6
MLBAdley Rutschman Less 0.5 Runs Scoredvs KC · 7:05 PM ET0.4067%+9.2%3/10Betr Picks
MLBAdley Rutschman Less 0.5 Runs Scoredvs KC · 7:05 PM ET0.4067%+9.2%3/10PrizePicks
MLBAdley Rutschman Less 0.5 Runs Scoredvs KC · 7:05 PM ET0.4067%+9.2%3/10Underdog
MLBMichael Busch Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET0.4166%+8.7%4/10Betr Picks
MLBMichael Busch Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET0.4166%+8.7%4/10DK Pick6
MLBJonathan Aranda Less 0.5 Runs Scoredvs SEA · 4:10 PM ET0.4166%+8.6%3/10Betr Picks
MLBLiam Hicks Less 0.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs CLE · 4:10 PM ET0.4166%+8.5%2/10Betr Picks
MLBReynaldo López More 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts@ STL · 7:15 PM ET4.5366%+8.4%5/10Betr Picks
MLBReynaldo López More 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts@ STL · 7:15 PM ET4.5366%+8.4%5/10DK Pick6
MLBReynaldo López More 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts@ STL · 7:15 PM ET4.5366%+8.4%5/10PrizePicks
MLBDrake Baldwin Less 1.5 Total Bases@ STL · 7:15 PM ET1.3366%+8.3%3/10Betr Picks
MLBCarter Jensen Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ BAL · 7:05 PM ET0.4266%+8.2%2/10Betr Picks
MLBCarter Jensen Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ BAL · 7:05 PM ET0.4266%+8.2%2/10DK Pick6
MLBNoelvi Marte Less 0.5 Runs Scoredvs CHC · 7:10 PM ET0.4266%+8.1%4/10Betr Picks
MLBJackson Merrill Less 0.5 Runs Scoredvs TOR · 8:40 PM ET0.4266%+8.0%5/10Betr Picks
MLBTyler Mahle Less 5.5 Pitcher Strikeoutsvs COL · 4:05 PM ET4.7666%+8.0%3/10DK Pick6
MLBOtto Lopez More 1.5 Total Basesvs CLE · 4:10 PM ET2.4066%+7.7%7/10Betr Picks
MLBNick Loftin Less 0.5 Batter Strikeouts@ BAL · 7:05 PM ET0.4365%+7.5%4/10Betr Picks
MLBNick Loftin Less 0.5 Batter Strikeouts@ BAL · 7:05 PM ET0.4365%+7.5%4/10DK Pick6
MLBDerek Hill More 0.5 Total Bases@ DET · 6:10 PM ET1.2365%+7.4%6/10Betr Picks
MLBDerek Hill More 0.5 Total Bases@ DET · 6:10 PM ET1.2365%+7.4%6/10PrizePicks
MLBLuis Arraez More 1.5 Total Basesvs COL · 4:05 PM ET2.4365%+7.4%6/10Betr Picks
MLBRichie Palacios More 0.5 Total Basesvs SEA · 4:10 PM ET1.2365%+7.3%5/10Betr Picks
MLBRichie Palacios More 0.5 Total Basesvs SEA · 4:10 PM ET1.2365%+7.3%5/10PrizePicks
MLBKevin Alcántara Less 0.5 Total Bases@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET0.4065%+7.3%3/10Betr Picks
MLBKevin Alcántara Less 0.5 Total Bases@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET0.4065%+7.3%3/10PrizePicks
MLBOtto Lopez Less 0.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs CLE · 4:10 PM ET0.4365%+7.3%3/10Betr Picks
MLBOtto Lopez Less 0.5 Batter Strikeoutsvs CLE · 4:10 PM ET0.4365%+7.3%3/10DK Pick6
MLBJazz Chisholm Jr. Less 1.5 Total Bases@ WSH · 4:05 PM ET1.4465%+7.2%2/10Betr Picks
MLBRhys Hoskins Less 0.5 Hits@ MIA · 4:10 PM ET0.4365%+7.0%4/10PrizePicks
MLBJimmy Crooks Less 0.5 Total Basesvs ATL · 7:15 PM ET0.4865%+7.0%3/10Betr Picks
MLBJimmy Crooks Less 0.5 Total Basesvs ATL · 7:15 PM ET0.4865%+7.0%3/10PrizePicks
MLBAlex Bregman Less 1.5 Total Bases@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET1.2165%+6.8%5/10Betr Picks
MLBWilliam Contreras Less 0.5 Runs Scored@ PIT · 4:05 PM ET0.4465%+6.8%2/10DK Pick6
MLBKyle Freeland Less 17.5 Pitcher Outs@ SF · 4:05 PM ET16.0165%+6.7%2/10Betr Picks
MLBKyle Freeland Less 17.5 Pitcher Outs@ SF · 4:05 PM ET16.0165%+6.7%2/10PrizePicks

Model % is our projected win probability for the recommended side at the app’s line; “off-line” means the app line differs from the sportsbook consensus. DFS lines refresh a few times daily. Model is experimental (v0). 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.