Probetrics — Sports Analytics

+EV Feed — all sports

Every live price ranked by expected value against the Probetrics model, with the no-vig fair price for reference. Experimental model — size responsibly.

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BetMatchupPriceThe best available odds across every sportsbook we track. Always bet at the best price — it's free money over time.Model %Our model's probability that this bet wins.FairWhat the odds SHOULD be with the bookmaker's built-in fee (vig) stripped out — computed from both sides of the market.EV %Expected value: your average profit per $100 bet if our model is right. +5% means you'd expect to make $5 per $100 over many bets.1/4-KellySuggested bet size as a % of your bankroll (quarter-Kelly — the safe version of the optimal formula). 1.5% = bet $15 of a $1,000 bankroll.Book
MLBJake McCarthy o0.5 RBIs@ SF · 4:05 PM ET+21057%+227+77.8%9.3%BetRivers
MLBJake McCarthy o0.5 RBIs@ SF · 4:05 PM ET+20557%+227+74.9%9.1%DraftKings
MLBJake McCarthy o0.5 RBIs@ SF · 4:05 PM ET+20057%+227+72.0%9.0%BetMGM
MLBRichie Palacios o0.5 RBIsvs SEA · 4:10 PM ET+37336%+402+70.5%4.7%DraftKings
MLBEzequiel Duran o0.5 RBIsvs HOU · 7:05 PM ET+28145%+307+70.1%6.2%DraftKings
MLBBen Malgeri o0.5 RBIsvs PHI · 6:10 PM ET+29842%+325+69.1%5.8%DraftKings
MLBBen Malgeri o0.5 RBIsvs PHI · 6:10 PM ET+29042%+325+65.7%5.7%BetMGM
MLBCole Carrigg o0.5 Runs Scored@ SF · 4:05 PM ET+16961%+153+63.3%9.4%Dabble
MLBPete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET+13170%+115+60.7%11.6%Dabble
MLBLane Thomas o0.5 RBIs@ BAL · 7:05 PM ET+26643%+291+57.9%5.4%DraftKings
MLBMatt Vierling u0.5 Hitsvs PHI · 6:10 PM ET+19752%+216+55.9%7.1%DraftKings
MLBKazuma Okamoto o0.5 RBIs@ SD · 8:40 PM ET+18055%+200+54.9%7.6%BetMGM
MLBKazuma Okamoto o0.5 RBIs@ SD · 8:40 PM ET+18055%+200+54.9%7.6%BetRivers
MLBKazuma Okamoto o0.5 RBIs@ SD · 8:40 PM ET+17955%+200+54.4%7.6%DraftKings
MLBOtto Lopez o1.5 Total Basesvs CLE · 4:10 PM ET+13466%+137+53.3%9.9%Dabble
MLBRichie Palacios o0.5 RBIsvs SEA · 4:10 PM ET+32536%+402+53.2%4.1%BetRivers
MLBRafael Devers o1.5 Total Basesvs COL · 4:05 PM ET+14263%+140+52.2%9.2%Dabble
MLBYainer Diaz o0.5 RBIs@ TEX · 7:05 PM ET+23845%+262+51.8%5.4%DraftKings
MLBNoelvi Marte u0.5 Hitsvs CHC · 7:10 PM ET+18154%+173+51.3%7.1%Dabble
MLBBen Malgeri o0.5 RBIsvs PHI · 6:10 PM ET+25542%+325+50.8%5.0%BetRivers
MLBIván Herrera u0.5 Hitsvs ATL · 7:15 PM ET+21747%+195+50.3%5.8%Dabble
MLBMatt Vierling u0.5 Hitsvs PHI · 6:10 PM ET+18552%+216+49.6%6.7%BetMGM
MLBEric Haase u0.5 Hitsvs COL · 4:05 PM ET+13563%+121+48.2%8.9%Dabble
MLBWyatt Langford o0.5 RBIsvs HOU · 7:05 PM ET+17055%+183+47.2%6.9%BetRivers
MLBWyatt Langford o0.5 RBIsvs HOU · 7:05 PM ET+17055%+183+47.2%6.9%BetMGM
MLBLane Thomas o0.5 RBIs@ BAL · 7:05 PM ET+24043%+291+46.7%4.9%BetRivers
MLBOtto Lopez o1.5 Total Basesvs CLE · 4:10 PM ET+12266%+137+45.4%9.3%DraftKings
MLBChase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases@ MIA · 4:10 PM ET+15258%+155+45.0%7.4%Dabble
MLBPete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET+10870%+115+44.7%10.3%BetRivers
MLBOtto Lopez o1.5 Total Basesvs CLE · 4:10 PM ET+12066%+137+44.1%9.2%BetRivers
MLBOtto Lopez o1.5 Total Basesvs CLE · 4:10 PM ET+12066%+137+44.1%9.2%Bovada
MLBWyatt Langford o1.5 Total Basesvs HOU · 7:05 PM ET+12564%+130+43.9%8.8%Dabble
MLBChase DeLauter o0.5 RBIs@ MIA · 4:10 PM ET+19449%+216+43.7%5.6%DraftKings
MLBLuis Arraez o1.5 Total Basesvs COL · 4:05 PM ET+12065%+123+43.4%9.0%Dabble
MLBWyatt Langford o0.5 RBIsvs HOU · 7:05 PM ET+16355%+183+43.4%6.6%DraftKings
MLBJorge Mateo u0.5 Hits@ STL · 7:15 PM ET+12464%+112+43.3%8.7%Dabble
MLBAustin Riley u0.5 Hits@ STL · 7:15 PM ET+18351%+166+43.2%5.9%Dabble
MLBKevin Alcántara u0.5 Total Bases@ CIN · 7:10 PM ET+12065%+120+43.2%9.0%Dabble
MLBCole Carrigg o0.5 Runs Scored@ SF · 4:05 PM ET+13561%+153+42.7%7.9%BetMGM
MLBGriffin Jax u5.5 Pitcher Strikeoutsvs SEA · 4:10 PM ET+10570%+112+42.7%10.2%BetMGM

EV = model P × decimal payout − 1, at the board line. Fair price is the devigged two-sided market. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.