Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Dominic Smith

Atlanta Braves · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.60
Edge
-16.5%
Last 20
50%10/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
52%
39/75
Avg0.77
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Dominic Smith clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 52% · n=42 · -159 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ NYM06/120@ NYM06/130@ NYM06/141vs SF06/160vs SF06/172vs MIL06/190vs MIL06/200@ SD06/221@ SD06/230@ SD06/241@ SF06/260@ SF06/271@ SF06/280vs STL06/301vs STL07/011vs STL07/020vs NYM07/031vs NYM07/051vs NYM07/060@ PIT07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-193+144

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Matt Olson ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
José Tena WSH07/052
Dylan Crews WSH07/051
CJ Abrams WSH07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.417.421.167.136.375.167.250.318.286
Exit Velo
90.8397.5083.9884.8394.2984.6579.9893.1776.65
sluggingPercentage
1.000.789.200.150.469.188.250.4551.143
AVG
.417.421.200.150.375.188.250.318.286
OPS
1.4171.211.333.273.844.333.500.7731.429