Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Dominic Smith

Atlanta Braves · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.60
Edge
-16.5%
Trending splitsvs LHP 0%(25)
Last 20
15%3/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
16%
3/19
Avg0.78
StreakL6

Parlay pairs — when Dominic Smith clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 52% · n=42 · -159 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
1@ STL09/071vs KC03/292vs OAK04/010@ AZ04/052@ WSH04/230vs DET04/300@ SEA05/061@ LAD05/101vs BOS05/170@ MIA05/190vs WSH05/231@ BOS05/280@ CIN05/312vs PIT06/060vs PIT06/070@ NYM06/130@ NYM06/140vs MIL06/201@ SF06/281vs NYM07/051.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-193+144

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Matt Olson ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
José Tena WSH07/052
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
CJ Abrams WSH07/051
Dylan Crews WSH07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.417.421.167.136.375.167.250.318.286
Exit Velo
90.8397.5083.9884.8394.2984.6579.9893.1776.65
sluggingPercentage
1.000.789.200.150.469.188.250.4551.143
AVG
.417.421.200.150.375.188.250.318.286
OPS
1.4171.211.333.273.844.333.500.7731.429