Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.60
Edge
-16.5%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
All 11 games
64%7/11 over 0.5
Window avg
0.82
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
64%
7/11
2026
25%
1/4
Avg0.82
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.0% | 98.6 | .387 | .565 | 12.7% |
| Slider | 32.6% | 90.2 | .167 | .167 | 38.6% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 93.4 | .077 | .077 | 31.9% |
| Curveball | 11.6% | 85.7 | .346 | .500 | 34.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Dominic Smith clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 52% · n=42 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 64% · base 52% · n=33 · +137 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 11 games vs 0.5
vs PIT only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs PIT — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS