Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Dominic Smith

Atlanta Braves · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.60
Edge
-16.5%
Last 6
50%3/6 over 0.5
Window avg
0.50
Median
0.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
3/6
L20
50%
3/6
2026
0%
0/2
Avg0.50
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Dominic Smith clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 52% · n=42 · -159 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 6 vs 0.5

vs PIT only · official box scores
0@ PIT08/221@ PIT08/241@ PIT08/041@ PIT08/050vs PIT06/050@ PIT07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-193+144

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Matt Olson ATL07/071
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
José Tena WSH07/052
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
CJ Abrams WSH07/051
Dylan Crews WSH07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.417.421.167.136.375.167.250.318.286
Exit Velo
90.8397.5083.9884.8394.2984.6579.9893.1776.65
sluggingPercentage
1.000.789.200.150.469.188.250.4551.143
AVG
.417.421.200.150.375.188.250.318.286
OPS
1.4171.211.333.273.844.333.500.7731.429