Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.17
Edge
+23.6%
Last 20
40%8/20 over 1.5
Window avg
2.05
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
36%
9/25
Avg1.64
StreakL1

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
0vs NYY04/231vs HOU05/011vs TB05/070vs TB05/080vs PHI05/132vs PHI05/143vs MIN05/222vs ATL05/261vs ATL05/270vs BAL06/025vs BAL06/036vs TEX06/129vs TEX06/140vs TOR06/161vs TOR06/170vs NYY06/255vs NYY06/261vs NYY06/284vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/301.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+136-179

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429