Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.08
Edge
+4.2%
Trending splitsvs LHP 78%(23)
Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.90
L5
100%
5/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
69%
59/86
Avg0.96
StreakW5

Parlay pairs — when Willson Contreras clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Hits
hits with him 76% · base 72% · n=59 · -235 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs TOR06/161vs TOR06/170vs TOR06/181@ SEA06/190@ SEA06/200@ SEA06/211@ COL06/221@ COL06/231@ COL06/240vs NYY06/252vs NYY06/261vs NYY06/271vs NYY06/281vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/302vs WSH07/012@ LAA07/031@ LAA07/041@ LAA07/052@ CWS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-194+145
BetOnline0.5-200+152

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429