Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.17
Edge
+23.6%
Last 20
45%9/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.85
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
50%
9/18
Avg1.52
StreakW2

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
0vs PIT08/280vs OAK09/014vs SD04/031vs SD04/040vs SD04/051vs MIL04/081vs DET04/184vs DET04/191vs DET04/201vs HOU05/024vs HOU05/030vs TB05/102vs MIN05/235vs MIN05/241vs ATL05/285vs BAL06/043vs TEX06/130vs TOR06/182vs NYY06/272vs WSH07/011.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+136-179

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Steven Kwan CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429