Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.63
Edge
+1.4%Trending splitsvs LHP 57%(23)
Last 15
67%10/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.67
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
48%
41/86
Avg0.54
StreakW5
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .267 | .411 | 27.8% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .397 | .836 | 10.7% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .310 | .619 | 41.8% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .297 | .541 | 42.3% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .222 | .389 | 41.0% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .118 | .176 | 36.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Willson Contreras clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 66% · n=43 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=39 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 42% · n=43 · +115 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 15 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +121 | -119 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsDK Pick6
League vs CWS — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Manzardo CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cooper Ingle CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS