Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.08
Edge
+4.2%
Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.05
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
65%
35/54
Avg1.02
StreakW4

Parlay pairs — when Willson Contreras clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=59 · -235 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ NYY06/050@ TB06/080@ TB06/092vs TEX06/123vs TEX06/140vs TOR06/161vs TOR06/171@ SEA06/190@ SEA06/201@ COL06/221@ COL06/230vs NYY06/252vs NYY06/261vs NYY06/281vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/302@ LAA07/031@ LAA07/041@ LAA07/052@ CWS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-194+145
BetOnline0.5-200+152

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429