Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.17
Edge
+23.5%Last 20
22%4/18 over 3 · 2 push
Window avg
1.75
Median
1.5
L5
67%
2/3
L10
50%
4/8
L20
22%
4/18
2026
27%
22/81
Avg1.73
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .267 | .411 | 27.8% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .397 | .836 | 10.7% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .310 | .619 | 41.8% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .297 | .541 | 42.3% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .222 | .389 | 41.0% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .118 | .176 | 36.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Willson Contreras clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Masataka Yoshida o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 52% · n=21 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 3
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +136 | -179 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +147 | -145 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlinedabble_us_dfs
League vs CWS — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kahlil Watson CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Patrick Bailey CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS