Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.17
Edge
+23.6%
Trending splitsvs LHP 50%(20)
Last 10
75%6/8 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
2.80
Median
3.0
L5
100%
4/4
L10
75%
6/8
L20
38%
6/16
2026
36%
27/74
Avg1.73
StreakW4

Total Baseslast 10 vs 2

official box scores
5vs NYY06/262vs NYY06/271vs NYY06/284vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/302vs WSH07/013@ LAA07/034@ LAA07/044@ LAA07/053@ CWS07/072

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+136-179

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429