Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.17
Edge
+23.6%
Trending splitsvs LHP 50%(20)
Last 20
50%7/14 over 2 · 6 push
Window avg
2.25
Median
2.0
L5
0%
0/2
L10
33%
2/6
L20
50%
7/14
2026
38%
10/26
Avg1.58
Streak

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
5@ BAL04/254@ BAL04/265@ TOR04/291vs HOU05/024vs HOU05/030vs TB05/102@ ATL05/172vs MIN05/235vs MIN05/241vs ATL05/280@ CLE05/305vs BAL06/042@ NYY06/070@ TB06/103vs TEX06/130vs TOR06/180@ SEA06/212@ COL06/242vs NYY06/272vs WSH07/012

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+136-179

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429