Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.17
Edge
+23.6%
Trending splitsvs LHP 72%(18)
Last 305
57%128/226 over 1 · 79 push
Window avg
1.73
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
89%
8/9
L20
63%
10/16
2026
59%
39/66
Avg1.73
StreakW5

Total Baseslast 305 vs 1

official box scores
5vs BAL06/035vs BAL06/045@ NYY06/052@ NYY06/070@ TB06/080@ TB06/090@ TB06/106vs TEX06/123vs TEX06/139vs TEX06/140vs TOR06/161vs TOR06/170vs TOR06/181@ SEA06/190@ SEA06/200@ SEA06/212@ COL06/221@ COL06/232@ COL06/240vs NYY06/255vs NYY06/262vs NYY06/271vs NYY06/284vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/302vs WSH07/013@ LAA07/034@ LAA07/044@ LAA07/053@ CWS07/071

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+136-179

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429