Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.17
Edge
+23.6%
Last 217
39%85/217 over 1.5
Window avg
1.68
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
41%
26/63
Avg1.68
StreakW2

Total Baseslast 217 vs 1.5

official box scores
2@ ATL05/174@ KC05/185@ KC05/202vs MIN05/235vs MIN05/242vs ATL05/261vs ATL05/272@ CLE05/290vs BAL06/025vs BAL06/032@ NYY06/070@ TB06/090@ TB06/106vs TEX06/123vs TEX06/139vs TEX06/140vs TOR06/161vs TOR06/170vs TOR06/181@ SEA06/190@ SEA06/200@ SEA06/212@ COL06/220vs NYY06/255vs NYY06/262vs NYY06/274vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/302vs WSH07/014@ LAA07/051.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+136-179

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429