Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.17
Edge
+23.6%
Trending splitsHome 43%(40)
Last 30
53%16/30 over 1.5
Window avg
2.30
Median
2.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
57%
13/23
Avg1.88
StreakW3

Total Baseslast 30 vs 1.5

official box scores
0vs ATL07/127@ COL07/211vs CHC08/080vs CHC08/100vs COL08/124@ CIN08/305vs OAK09/030@ CIN03/261vs MIL04/081vs DET04/184vs DET04/190vs NYY04/225@ BAL04/255@ TOR04/290@ DET05/044@ DET05/052vs PHI05/142@ KC05/193vs MIN05/221vs ATL05/280@ CLE05/305vs BAL06/045@ NYY06/050@ TB06/081@ COL06/232@ COL06/241vs NYY06/283@ LAA07/034@ LAA07/043@ CWS07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+136-179

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429