Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.17
Edge
+23.6%
Last 20
35%7/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.45
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
44%
4/9
Avg1.62
StreakL1

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
3vs TOR06/110vs CIN06/210vs CIN06/220vs CHC06/250vs CHC06/262vs WSH07/090vs ATL07/121vs CHC08/080vs CHC08/100vs COL08/125vs OAK09/031vs MIL04/081vs DET04/184vs DET04/190vs NYY04/222vs PHI05/143vs MIN05/221vs ATL05/285vs BAL06/041vs NYY06/281.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+136-179

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429