Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.08
Edge
+4.2%
Last 30
73%22/30 over 0.5
Window avg
1.10
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
80%
16/20
2026
78%
18/23
Avg0.99
StreakW6

Parlay pairs — when Willson Contreras clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=59 · -235 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs ATL07/123@ COL07/211vs CHC08/080vs CHC08/100vs COL08/121@ CIN08/303vs OAK09/030@ CIN03/261vs MIL04/081vs DET04/181vs DET04/190vs NYY04/222@ BAL04/252@ TOR04/290@ DET05/041@ DET05/051vs PHI05/142@ KC05/191vs MIN05/221vs ATL05/280@ CLE05/302vs BAL06/042@ NYY06/050@ TB06/081@ COL06/231@ COL06/241vs NYY06/282@ LAA07/031@ LAA07/042@ CWS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-194+145
BetOnline0.5-200+152

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.118.278.400.240.360.406.214.458.429
OPS
.412.7781.000.6401.0801.152.8571.4401.250
Exit Velo
69.6188.2195.6877.8591.6497.8586.6997.5193.43
sluggingPercentage
.294.500.650.400.720.781.6431.042.821
onBasePercentage
.118.278.381.240.360.394.214.440.429