Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.66
Edge
+9.9%Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
50%
45/90
Avg0.50
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: George Kirby (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 29.9% | 87.1 | .303 | .394 | 27.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.4% | 96.7 | .378 | .622 | 8.3% |
| Sinker | 21.0% | 96.9 | .418 | .657 | 4.7% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.9% | 83.8 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 6.7% | 88.7 | .268 | .390 | 27.1% |
| Cutter | 3.0% | 93.2 | .333 | .400 | 17.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Otto Lopez clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Xavier Edwards o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 73% · n=117 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 58% · n=92 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Joe Mack o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 55% · n=25 · -130 DraftKings
Liam Hicks o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 57% · n=85 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +160 | -159 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SEA — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Owen Caissie MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Griffin Conine MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Mack MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Stowers MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Urías TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yohendrick Piñango TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS