Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.56
Edge
+10.5%All 147 games
70%103/147 over 0.5
Window avg
1.07
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
80%
16/20
2026
83%
33/40
Avg1.07
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: George Kirby (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 29.9% | 87.1 | .303 | .394 | 27.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.4% | 96.7 | .378 | .622 | 8.3% |
| Sinker | 21.0% | 96.9 | .418 | .657 | 4.7% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.9% | 83.8 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 6.7% | 88.7 | .268 | .390 | 27.1% |
| Cutter | 3.0% | 93.2 | .333 | .400 | 17.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Otto Lopez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Joe Mack o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 55% · n=35 · -130 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 147 games vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs SEA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Owen Caissie MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Griffin Conine MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kyle Stowers MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joe Mack MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yohendrick Piñango TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS