Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.99
Edge
+16.2%Last 10
40%4/10 over 1.5
Window avg
2.40
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
46%
34/74
Avg1.43
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .333 | .591 | 12.8% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | .800 | 2.400 | 40.0% |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .192 | .308 | 36.5% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jake McCarthy clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
TJ Rumfield o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 70% · n=33 · -154 dabble_us_dfs
Tyler Freeman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 67% · n=25 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Kyle Karros o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 62% · n=33 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 62% · n=32 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 10 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +157 | -156 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAD — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Hunter Goodman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
AVG