Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.50
Edge
-2.4%Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
35%
26/74
Avg0.44
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .333 | .591 | 12.8% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | .800 | 2.400 | 40.0% |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .192 | .308 | 36.5% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jake McCarthy clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
TJ Rumfield o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 70% · n=25 · -154 dabble_us_dfs
Kyle Karros o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 62% · n=24 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Tyler Freeman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=22 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Edouard Julien o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 43% · n=24 · +104 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +140 | -139 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs LAD — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Troy Johnston COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Hunter Goodman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
AVG