Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.19
Edge
+6.9%Last 20
20%4/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.25
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
11%
8/74
Avg0.08
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .333 | .591 | 12.8% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | .800 | 2.400 | 40.0% |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .192 | .308 | 36.5% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jake McCarthy clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
TJ Rumfield o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 88% · base 70% · n=8 · -154 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +897 | -833 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAD — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Troy Johnston COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Hunter Goodman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
AVG