Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.97
Edge
+1.7%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Trending splitsvs LHP 76%(17)
Last 119
58%69/119 over 0.5
Window avg
0.89
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
62%
18/29
Avg0.89
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Carson Kelly clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Nico Hoerner o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 74% · n=101 · -230 DraftKings
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 62% · n=100 · -147 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 61% · n=97 · -173 DraftKings
Michael Busch o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 58% · n=98 · -208 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 119 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs BAL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage