Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Yandy Díaz

Tampa Bay Rays · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.49
Edge
-6.9%
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
46%
39/85
Avg0.48
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
44.0%
93.5.198.34121.0%
Slider
18.5%
87.2.409.70511.3%
Changeup
15.5%
83.7.290.58119.3%
Knuckle Curve
14.3%
81.2
Sinker
7.8%
90.6.385.4777.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Yandy Díaz clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 65% · n=85 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Jonny DeLuca o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=64 · -159 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=43 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=43 · -149 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ LAD06/150@ LAD06/161@ LAD06/171vs WSH06/191vs WSH06/201vs WSH06/210vs KC06/221vs KC06/231vs KC06/241vs KC06/252vs AZ06/261vs AZ06/271vs AZ06/281@ KC06/300@ KC07/010@ KC07/020@ HOU07/030@ HOU07/050vs NYY07/061vs NYY07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+121-120

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.59:38 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr PicksDK Pick6dabble_us_dfs

League vs NYY Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Richie Palacios TB07/072
Hunter Feduccia TB07/071
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/071
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Jonathan Aranda TB07/070
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Cedric Mullins TB07/060
Richie Palacios TB07/060
Junior Caminero TB07/060
Nick Fortes TB07/060
Jonathan Aranda TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.154.294.462.273.441.241.343.405.348
Exit Velo
90.4197.5697.9588.8499.4693.4193.7497.5789.20
onBasePercentage
.214.294.462.273.441.241.333.405.333
sluggingPercentage
.231.471.692.394.971.379.457.676.391
OPS
.429.7651.154.6671.412.621.7781.081.708