Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.12
Edge
-1.7%Last 20
15%3/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.15
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
24%
10/42
Avg0.19
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 44.0% | 93.5 | .198 | .341 | 21.0% |
| Slider | 18.5% | 87.2 | .409 | .705 | 11.3% |
| Changeup | 15.5% | 83.7 | .290 | .581 | 19.3% |
| Knuckle Curve | 14.3% | 81.2 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 90.6 | .385 | .477 | 7.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Yandy Díaz clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Richie Palacios o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 61% · base 36% · n=18 · +264 dabble_us_dfs
Nick Fortes o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 60% · base 43% · n=15 · -137 Betr Picks
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +656 | -625 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs NYY — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Hunter Feduccia TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Mesa Jr. TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Junior Caminero TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Fortes TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cedric Mullins TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonny DeLuca TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS