Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Yandy Díaz

Tampa Bay Rays · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
0.98
Edge
-7.2%
Last 20
45%9/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.45
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
36%
15/42
Avg1.19
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
44.0%
93.5.198.34121.0%
Slider
18.5%
87.2.409.70511.3%
Changeup
15.5%
83.7.290.58119.3%
Knuckle Curve
14.3%
81.2
Sinker
7.8%
90.6.385.4777.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Yandy Díaz clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too

Taylor Walls o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 53% · n=69 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Taylor Walls o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 62% · base 53% · n=69 · +111 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1.5

home only · official box scores
2vs LAA05/300vs LAA05/313vs DET06/010vs DET06/021vs DET06/031vs BOS06/081vs BOS06/093vs BOS06/102vs WSH06/192vs WSH06/202vs WSH06/211vs KC06/220vs KC06/234vs KC06/241vs KC06/252vs AZ06/261vs AZ06/271vs AZ06/280vs NYY07/062vs NYY07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+185-251
BetOnline1.5+182-244
dabble_us_dfs1.5+217-213

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs NYY Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Richie Palacios TB07/072
Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/072
Hunter Feduccia TB07/071
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Jonathan Aranda TB07/070
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Richie Palacios TB07/062
Jonny DeLuca TB07/061
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Jonathan Aranda TB07/060
Taylor Walls TB07/060
Junior Caminero TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.154.294.462.273.441.241.343.405.348
Exit Velo
90.4197.5697.9588.8499.4693.4193.7497.5789.20
onBasePercentage
.214.294.462.273.441.241.333.405.333
sluggingPercentage
.231.471.692.394.971.379.457.676.391
OPS
.429.7651.154.6671.412.621.7781.081.708