Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Yandy Díaz

Tampa Bay Rays · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.51
Edge
-2.9%
Last 10
20%2/10 over 1.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
46%
39/85
Avg1.77
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
44.0%
93.5.198.34121.0%
Slider
18.5%
87.2.409.70511.3%
Changeup
15.5%
83.7.290.58119.3%
Knuckle Curve
14.3%
81.2
Sinker
7.8%
90.6.385.4777.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Yandy Díaz clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Taylor Walls o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 53% · n=93 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Taylor Walls o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 65% · base 53% · n=93 · +111 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 10 vs 1.5

official box scores
3vs AZ06/261vs AZ06/271vs AZ06/281@ KC06/300@ KC07/010@ KC07/021@ HOU07/030@ HOU07/050vs NYY07/065vs NYY07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+106-141
Betr Picks1.5-137
dabble_us_dfs1.5+128-127
BetOnline1.5+112-145
Bovada1.5+110-145

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovadaBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs

League vs NYY Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/075
Hunter Feduccia TB07/074
Richie Palacios TB07/073
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Jonathan Aranda TB07/070
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Richie Palacios TB07/062
Jonny DeLuca TB07/061
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Junior Caminero TB07/060
Cedric Mullins TB07/060
Taylor Walls TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.154.294.462.273.441.241.343.405.348
Exit Velo
90.4197.5697.9588.8499.4693.4193.7497.5789.20
onBasePercentage
.214.294.462.273.441.241.333.405.333
sluggingPercentage
.231.471.692.394.971.379.457.676.391
OPS
.429.7651.154.6671.412.621.7781.081.708