Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Yandy Díaz

Tampa Bay Rays · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.49
Edge
-6.8%
Last 20
20%4/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
29%
2/7
Avg0.41
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
44.0%
93.5.198.34121.0%
Slider
18.5%
87.2.409.70511.3%
Changeup
15.5%
83.7.290.58119.3%
Knuckle Curve
14.3%
81.2
Sinker
7.8%
90.6.385.4777.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Yandy Díaz clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 65% · n=85 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Jonny DeLuca o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 57% · n=64 · -159 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=43 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=43 · -149 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

vs NYY only · official box scores
0vs NYY04/170vs NYY04/180vs NYY04/190vs NYY04/200@ NYY05/020@ NYY05/030@ NYY05/041@ NYY07/281@ NYY07/290@ NYY07/300@ NYY07/310vs NYY08/190vs NYY08/201vs NYY04/100vs NYY04/110vs NYY04/120@ NYY05/220@ NYY05/240vs NYY07/061vs NYY07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+121-120

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.59:38 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr PicksDK Pick6dabble_us_dfs

League vs NYY Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Richie Palacios TB07/072
Hunter Feduccia TB07/071
Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/071
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Jonathan Aranda TB07/070
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Nick Fortes TB07/060
Cedric Mullins TB07/060
Jonny DeLuca TB07/060
Junior Caminero TB07/060
Jonathan Aranda TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.154.294.462.273.441.241.343.405.348
Exit Velo
90.4197.5697.9588.8499.4693.4193.7497.5789.20
onBasePercentage
.214.294.462.273.441.241.333.405.333
sluggingPercentage
.231.471.692.394.971.379.457.676.391
OPS
.429.7651.154.6671.412.621.7781.081.708