Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red Sox · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.17
Edge
+3.2%
Last 30
77%23/30 over 0.5
Window avg
1.27
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
73%
61/83
Avg0.93
StreakW5

Parlay pairs — when Ceddanne Rafaela clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=60 · -194 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
2vs BAL06/023vs BAL06/031vs BAL06/040@ NYY06/052@ NYY06/071@ TB06/080@ TB06/091@ TB06/103vs TEX06/122vs TEX06/130vs TEX06/142vs TOR06/161vs TOR06/171vs TOR06/181@ SEA06/191@ SEA06/210@ COL06/221@ COL06/233@ COL06/241vs NYY06/250vs NYY06/262vs NYY06/270vs NYY06/282vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/302vs WSH07/012@ LAA07/031@ LAA07/041@ LAA07/052@ CWS07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-235+174
BetOnline0.5-244+182

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
84.2897.3388.9488.5190.6290.3293.1290.9881.13
sluggingPercentage
.2941.111.353.619.622.200.500.667.231
AVG
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231
OPS
.5881.667.5291.000.973.314.8571.000.462
onBasePercentage
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231