Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red Sox · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.84
Edge
+14.4%
Last 20
25%4/16 over 2 · 4 push
Window avg
1.65
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
14%
1/7
L20
25%
4/16
2026
29%
12/42
Avg1.45
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Ceddanne Rafaela clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=65 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
4vs BAL06/030@ NYY06/051@ TB06/080@ TB06/098vs TEX06/120vs TEX06/143vs TOR06/161vs TOR06/172@ SEA06/190@ COL06/221@ COL06/231vs NYY06/250vs NYY06/260vs NYY06/282vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/302@ LAA07/032@ LAA07/041@ LAA07/055@ CWS07/072

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+130-169

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Steven Kwan CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
84.2897.3388.9488.5190.6290.3293.1290.9881.13
sluggingPercentage
.2941.111.353.619.622.200.500.667.231
AVG
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231
OPS
.5881.667.5291.000.973.314.8571.000.462
onBasePercentage
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231