Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red Sox · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.84
Edge
+14.4%
Trending splitsDay 74%(23)
Last 20
73%11/15 over 1 · 5 push
Window avg
1.85
Median
2.0
L5
100%
4/4
L10
86%
6/7
L20
73%
11/15
2026
63%
19/30
Avg1.53
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Ceddanne Rafaela clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=65 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1

away only · official box scores
2@ ATL05/161@ ATL05/173@ KC05/192@ KC05/200@ CLE05/292@ CLE05/300@ NYY06/052@ NYY06/071@ TB06/080@ TB06/094@ TB06/102@ SEA06/191@ SEA06/210@ COL06/221@ COL06/236@ COL06/242@ LAA07/032@ LAA07/041@ LAA07/055@ CWS07/071

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+130-169

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Steven Kwan CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
84.2897.3388.9488.5190.6290.3293.1290.9881.13
sluggingPercentage
.2941.111.353.619.622.200.500.667.231
AVG
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231
OPS
.5881.667.5291.000.973.314.8571.000.462
onBasePercentage
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231