Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red Sox · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.84
Edge
+14.4%
Last 20
85%17/20 over 0.5
Window avg
2.10
Median
2.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
100%
10/10
L20
85%
17/20
2026
81%
26/32
Avg1.57
StreakW14

Parlay pairs — when Ceddanne Rafaela clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=65 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
5@ BAL04/255@ BAL04/260@ TOR04/291vs HOU05/020vs HOU05/030vs TB05/101@ ATL05/172vs MIN05/231vs MIN05/242vs ATL05/282@ CLE05/301vs BAL06/042@ NYY06/074@ TB06/102vs TEX06/132vs TOR06/181@ SEA06/216@ COL06/242vs NYY06/273vs WSH07/010.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+130-169

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
84.2897.3388.9488.5190.6290.3293.1290.9881.13
sluggingPercentage
.2941.111.353.619.622.200.500.667.231
AVG
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231
OPS
.5881.667.5291.000.973.314.8571.000.462
onBasePercentage
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231