Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red Sox · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.84
Edge
+14.4%
Last 275
36%98/275 over 1.5
Window avg
1.41
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
40%
24/60
Avg1.41
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Ceddanne Rafaela clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=65 · -186 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 275 vs 1.5

official box scores
3@ ATL05/152@ ATL05/161@ ATL05/172@ KC05/202vs MIN05/231vs MIN05/244vs ATL05/263vs ATL05/270@ CLE05/292vs BAL06/024vs BAL06/032@ NYY06/070@ TB06/094@ TB06/108vs TEX06/122vs TEX06/130vs TEX06/143vs TOR06/161vs TOR06/172vs TOR06/182@ SEA06/191@ SEA06/210@ COL06/221vs NYY06/250vs NYY06/262vs NYY06/272vs WSH06/290vs WSH06/303vs WSH07/011@ LAA07/051.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
BetOnline1.5+130-169

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs CWS Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Andruw Monasterio BOS07/075
Jarren Duran BOS07/073
Willson Contreras BOS07/073
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/072
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Gabriel Arias CLE07/055
Chase DeLauter CLE07/055
Travis Bazzana CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051
Kahlil Watson CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
84.2897.3388.9488.5190.6290.3293.1290.9881.13
sluggingPercentage
.2941.111.353.619.622.200.500.667.231
AVG
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231
OPS
.5881.667.5291.000.973.314.8571.000.462
onBasePercentage
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231