Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.17
Edge
+3.2%Last 20
10%2/20 over 2.5
Window avg
1.25
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
7%
4/60
Avg0.90
StreakL15
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | .265 | .373 | 23.6% |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | .304 | .391 | 15.6% |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | .265 | .559 | 30.9% |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | .283 | .500 | 29.8% |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | .333 | .467 | 21.4% |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | .192 | .308 | 28.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Ceddanne Rafaela clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=60 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 2.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | -235 | +174 |
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -244 | +182 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -208 | +209 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs CWS — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Patrick Bailey CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Steven Kwan CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo