Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red Sox · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.17
Edge
+3.2%
Last 13
23%3/13 over 1.5
Window avg
1.08
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
23%
3/13
2026
100%
1/1
Avg1.08
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Ceddanne Rafaela clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Willson Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=60 · -194 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 13 vs 1.5

vs CWS only · official box scores
4@ CWS06/061@ CWS06/071@ CWS06/080@ CWS06/091vs CWS09/060vs CWS09/070@ CWS04/112@ CWS04/121@ CWS04/131vs CWS04/181vs CWS04/190vs CWS04/202@ CWS07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-235+174
BetOnline0.5-244+182

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CWS Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jarren Duran BOS07/072
Andruw Monasterio BOS07/072
Willson Contreras BOS07/072
Anthony Seigler BOS07/071
Romy Gonzalez BOS07/071
Connor Wong BOS07/071
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/070
Chase DeLauter CLE07/052
Daniel Schneemann CLE07/052
Gabriel Arias CLE07/052
Cooper Ingle CLE07/051
Travis Bazzana CLE07/051
Patrick Bailey CLE07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
84.2897.3388.9488.5190.6290.3293.1290.9881.13
sluggingPercentage
.2941.111.353.619.622.200.500.667.231
AVG
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231
OPS
.5881.667.5291.000.973.314.8571.000.462
onBasePercentage
.294.556.176.381.351.114.357.333.231