Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jake Bauers

Milwaukee Brewers · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
+0.4%
Last 5
60%3/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
60%
49/82
Avg0.65
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Jake Bauers clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=103 · -262 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=125 · -251 DraftKings
Kyle Harrison o5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 64% · base 60% · n=11 · +109 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ AZ07/041@ AZ07/051@ STL07/062@ STL07/070@ STL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-200+149

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs STL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Christian Yelich MIL07/073
Joey Ortiz MIL07/073
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Brice Turang MIL07/072
Cooper Pratt MIL07/072
Joey Ortiz MIL07/072
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Christian Yelich MIL07/070
Sal Frelick MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070
Sal Frelick MIL07/070
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070