Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
+0.4%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 15
53%8/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.93
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
60%
49/82
Avg0.65
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .341 | .600 | 19.8% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .259 | .444 | 45.9% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .259 | .463 | 12.9% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .286 | .714 | 30.8% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .143 | .250 | 38.2% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .318 | .773 | 34.8% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .205 | .410 | 30.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jake Bauers clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=103 · -262 DraftKings
William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=125 · -251 DraftKings
Kyle Harrison o5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 64% · base 60% · n=11 · +123 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 15 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs STL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Garrett Mitchell MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS