Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.77
Edge
-1.5%Trending splitsAway 50%(40)
Last 20
25%5/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
38%
20/52
Avg1.84
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Pete Alonso clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 59% · n=30 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 67% · base 59% · n=30 · -185 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +102 | -135 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +110 | -143 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +105 | -135 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada
League vs CHC — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS