Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pete Alonso

Baltimore Orioles · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
-4.4%
Trending splitsNight 75%(40)
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
65%
60/92
Avg0.97
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Pete Alonso clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 64% · n=62 · -207 DraftKings
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=45 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=45 · -185 BetOnline
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=52 · -233 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs SD06/140@ SEA06/161@ SEA06/170@ SEA06/181@ LAD06/190@ LAD06/202@ LAD06/211@ LAA06/220@ LAA06/233@ LAA06/240vs WSH06/261vs WSH06/271vs WSH06/280vs CWS06/291vs CWS06/300vs CWS07/011@ CIN07/033@ CIN07/040@ CIN07/051vs CHC07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-251+185
BetOnline0.5-250+188

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CHC Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/052
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Nathan Church STL07/051
Jordan Walker STL07/051
Lars Nootbaar STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.227.417.143.333.286.474.158.341.227
Exit Velo
85.2499.74103.2792.2697.78100.1691.3499.1090.92
sluggingPercentage
.273.591.615.500.7061.053.368.650.500
AVG
.227.364.154.342.294.474.158.350.227
OPS
.500.958.714.821.9711.526.526.976.727