Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pete Alonso

Baltimore Orioles · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
-4.4%
Last 160
66%105/160 over 0.5
Window avg
0.99
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
60%
24/40
Avg0.99
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Pete Alonso clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 64% · n=62 · -207 DraftKings
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=45 · -192 BetOnline
Blaze Alexander o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=45 · -185 BetOnline
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=52 · -233 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 160 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs AZ04/151@ CLE04/191@ KC04/220vs BOS04/250vs BOS04/260vs HOU04/301@ NYY05/022@ NYY05/030vs OAK05/090vs OAK05/102vs NYY05/132@ WSH05/160@ WSH05/172@ TB05/200vs DET05/241vs DET05/243vs TB05/251vs TOR05/302vs TOR05/312@ BOS06/041@ TOR06/060@ TOR06/073vs SD06/131vs SD06/140@ SEA06/182@ LAD06/213@ LAA06/241vs WSH06/280vs CWS07/010@ CIN07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-251+185
BetOnline0.5-250+188

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs CHC Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Taylor Ward BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Alec Burleson STL07/052
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Nathan Church STL07/051
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Jordan Walker STL07/051
José Fermín STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.227.417.143.333.286.474.158.341.227
Exit Velo
85.2499.74103.2792.2697.78100.1691.3499.1090.92
sluggingPercentage
.273.591.615.500.7061.053.368.650.500
AVG
.227.364.154.342.294.474.158.350.227
OPS
.500.958.714.821.9711.526.526.976.727