Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Cal Raleigh

Seattle Mariners · C · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.40
Edge
-17.0%
Last 20
35%7/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.35
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
32%
19/60
Avg0.56
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)

Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
25.2%
95.8.455.81816.1%
Sweeper
24.1%
84.2.000.00029.6%
Splitter
24.0%
87.4.167.25028.6%
Curveball
16.5%
83.6.071.17938.5%
Four-seam FB
9.1%
96.3.105.18633.2%
Slider
1.1%
88.7.192.57733.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Cal Raleigh clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=54 · -152 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ HOU05/130vs BAL06/160vs BAL06/170vs BAL06/181vs BOS06/190vs BOS06/200vs BOS06/211@ PIT06/230@ PIT06/240@ PIT06/251@ CLE06/260@ CLE06/271@ CLE06/280vs LAA06/291vs LAA06/300vs LAA07/020vs TOR07/031vs TOR07/040vs TOR07/051@ MIA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
PrizePicks0.5-137-137
Underdog0.5-137-137
Betr Picks0.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+106-105

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
PrizePicksdabble_us_dfsUnderdogBetr Picks

League vs MIA Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Randy Arozarena SEA07/071
Cole Young SEA07/071
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Dominic Canzone SEA07/070
Luke Raley SEA07/070
Max Muncy OAK07/052
Lawrence Butler OAK07/052
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Jonah Heim OAK07/051
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051
Zack Gelof OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.154.375.000.095.316.273.278.214.333
Exit Velo
89.3888.7384.8691.1788.5185.9596.8088.6792.71
sluggingPercentage
.154.563.000.4211.105.300.389.429.500
AVG
.154.375.000.105.316.300.278.214.286
OPS
.308.938.000.4761.421.545.667.643.800