Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Cal Raleigh

Seattle Mariners · C · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.64
Edge
-15.9%
Trending splitsDay 61%(18)
Last 20
50%10/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.5
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
50%
16/32
Avg0.75
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)

Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
25.2%
95.8.455.81816.1%
Sweeper
24.1%
84.2.000.00029.6%
Splitter
24.0%
87.4.167.25028.6%
Curveball
16.5%
83.6.071.17938.5%
Four-seam FB
9.1%
96.3.105.18633.2%
Slider
1.1%
88.7.192.57733.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
0vs TEX04/181vs TEX04/191vs OAK04/202vs OAK04/213vs OAK04/220vs KC05/010vs ATL05/050vs ATL05/061vs BAL06/161vs BAL06/170vs BAL06/180vs BOS06/191vs BOS06/200vs BOS06/211vs LAA06/290vs LAA06/300vs LAA07/020vs TOR07/031vs TOR07/041vs TOR07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5-169+171

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Randy Arozarena SEA07/072
Cole Young SEA07/071
Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Luke Raley SEA07/071
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Dominic Canzone SEA07/070
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Jonah Heim OAK07/052
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Brian Serven OAK07/051
Lawrence Butler OAK07/051
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051
Zack Gelof OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.154.375.000.095.316.273.278.214.333
Exit Velo
89.3888.7384.8691.1788.5185.9596.8088.6792.71
sluggingPercentage
.154.563.000.4211.105.300.389.429.500
AVG
.154.375.000.105.316.300.278.214.286
OPS
.308.938.000.4761.421.545.667.643.800