Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.39
Edge
-7.1%Last 15
33%5/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
32%
22/68
Avg0.40
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .283 | .472 | 30.1% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .292 | .292 | 30.2% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .333 | .444 | 35.0% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .368 | .526 | 25.0% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .306 | .367 | 9.4% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .333 | .667 | 20.6% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .294 | .353 | 36.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Blaze Alexander clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Taylor Ward o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 61% · n=24 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 15 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +153 | -152 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CHC — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS