Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
+1.0%Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
57%
39/68
Avg0.83
StreakW3
Parlay pairs — when Blaze Alexander clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 64% · n=41 · -250 BetOnline
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 61% · n=28 · -252 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -192 | +146 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CHC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG